Polymarket Blog

Guides, strategies, and analysis for Polymarket prediction markets. Learn to trade smarter.

Beginner Guide

How Polymarket Works: A Complete Beginner's Guide

Learn how prediction markets work, how Polymarket uses USDC and AMM-based pricing, how probabilities translate to prices, and how to place your first trade step by step.

Strategy

5 Polymarket Trading Strategies That Actually Work

Evidence-based trading strategies: fading overreactions, late arbitrage before resolution, long-tail event pricing, information edge in niche domains, and liquidity provision with CLOB.

Comparison

Polymarket vs Manifold vs Kalshi: Which Prediction Market Should You Use?

A detailed comparison of the major prediction market platforms - Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, and PredictIt - covering fees, liquidity, geography restrictions, and best use cases.